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Archive for the ‘Creigh Deeds’ Category

If this holds up, and there is some question about that, it will be one of the largest shifts of voter preference in Virginia history.
Public Policy Polling: 6-6,7-09 (previous 6-3-09)
Deeds 40%
McAuliffe 26%
Moran [...]

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Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 6/1-3. Likely voters. MoE 4% (5/18-20 results)
Democratic Primary voters MoE 5%
Creigh Deeds (D)     30 (13)
Brian Moran (D)      27 (22)
Terry McAuliffe (D)  26 (36)
Undecided 17 (29)
I agree that a strong field operation can help the second and third place finishers here, but McAuliffe has lost 10 points [...]

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The Washington Post, in an article written by Maria Glod and Rosalind S. Helderman, and published this morning (6-4-09), details the false claims made by Terry McAuliffe, Brian Moran, and others concerning the possibility of a link between 3rd grade reading scores and predictions for prison bed planning purposes.
There seem to be many culprits here, [...]

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Virginia State Board of Elections
I have been working on a prediction for turnout statewide. I haven’t gotten it nailed down yet, but it will be interesting to see if it passes 5% by much.
I saw somewhere that the percentage of voters turning out for the 2006 Jim Webb-Harris Miller primary was just under 3.5% (150,000 [...]

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Tested: Creigh Deeds, Terry McAuliffe, Brian Moran

Pollster
Dates
N/Pop
Deeds
McAuliffe
Moran
Undecided

PPP (D)
5/28-31/09
559 LV
27
24
22
26

GQR (D-Moran)
5/26-27/09
400 LV
27
26
29
18

PPP (D)
5/19-21/09
617 LV
20
29
20
31

DailyKos.com (D)/ Research 2000
5/18-20/09
400 LV
13
36
22
29

SurveyUSA
5/17-19/09
502 LV
26
37
22
14

PPP (D)
5/1-3/09
583 LV
14
30
20
36

GQR (D-Moran)
4/30-5/3/09
606 LV
18
31
29
22

SurveyUSA
4/25-27/09
409 LV
22
38
22
18

DailyKos.com (D)/ Research 2000
4/6-8/09
400 LV
16
19
24
41

PPP (D)
3/27-29/09
740 LV
15
18
22
45

PPP (D)
2/28-3/1/09
647 LV
14
21
19
46

PPP (D)
1/30-2/1/09
998 LV
11
18
18
53

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From PPP blog:
With a week to go until the Democratic primary for Governor in Virginia the state of the race is as muddled as ever, with all three candidates within five points of each other. Creigh Deeds has a slight lead with 27%, followed by Terry McAuliffe at 24%, and Brian Moran at 22%. All [...]

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This advertisement speaks for itself, I think. It emphasizes strong points, reflects the adult demeanor that Senator Deeds has, and doesn’t look like a commercial for a used car.
Now you get to decide what you like or dislike about it.

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